Investment Trust Dividends

Month: May 2025 (Page 8 of 14)

Capital protection trusts

Capital protection trusts: The perfect vehicle for nervous investors

12 May 2025

Annabel Brodie-Smith looks at the historic performance of these low-risk trusts. Are they really as good as they sound?

By Annabel Brodie-Smith

The Association of Investment Companies

Stock markets around the world have been thrown into chaos during the first few months of this year as investors reacted to Donald Trump’s volatile policymaking and, most recently, the tariffs he announced on ‘Liberation Day’ on 2 April. 

As a result, many investors are likely to have experienced some gut churning volatility and a significant hit to their portfolios since the new president took office. 

Indeed, it’s precisely this type of market mayhem that has dyed-in-the-wool cash savers wagging their fingers and chiding “that’s why I don’t invest in the stock market!”

However, there are a number of investment trusts that are designed specifically for nervous investors and volatile times like these; they aim to preserve the value of investors’ capital during market downturns while providing cash-beating returns when stock markets are rising.

In the wake of the recent market volatility, I decided to take a closer look to see if their claims stood up to scrutiny.

One of the most prominent funds is Capital Gearing Trust. Founded in 1973, it has been a steward of investors’ capital through booms and busts, market crashes, global economic crises and a pandemic. Despite these hurdles, since Peter Spiller started managing it in 1982, the trust has only lost money in two years, with the worst annual loss being 4% in 2022.

Even so, if you had invested £10,000 at launch you would now have £2.2m sitting in your portfolio today, and with very little stress along the way.

For some more recent context, let’s look at the period of tariff-induced volatility caused by Trump’s tariff announcements. In the four weeks between 2 April and 29 April, the average investment trust rose by 1.8%, although that figure masks a wide disparity; the average North America trust is down by 6.8% and the average China trust down by 9.8% in those four weeks alone, while the average trust in the Global sector was down by 3.4%. Yet Capital Gearing Trust was exactly unchanged.

Other wealth preservation trusts did emerge with profits, with Personal Assets Trust up by 0.59% and Ruffer Investment Company gaining 1.08%.

Analysing performance over more meaningful periods shows that wealth preservation trusts have successfully protected investors’ savings through market wobbles, busts, corrections and crashes. All while passing on at least some of the upside when stock markets are doing well. Indeed, even during times of extreme market stress such as the financial crisis or the Covid pandemic, some of these trusts actually made money.

So how do they do it?

The truth is that there is more than one way to build a resilient, gravity defying portfolio, and each of these trusts takes a different approach. The one thing in common is a diversified pool of assets, at least one segment of which is designed to rise in value when equities are having a tough time. That might be gold, bonds, derivatives or a combination of the three. Either way, they interact with the rest of the portfolio in a way that protects the bulk of investors’ capital.

Spiller explains his method of dividing Capital Gearing into three pots: “We put approximately one third in risk assets such as equities, another third in index-linked bonds and another third in cash or cash equivalents such as high-quality government bonds, which pay a better return than cash on deposit.

“The result has been remarkably consistent. We sailed through the dotcom crash in 2000 and made money when the markets crashed during the global financial crisis and again during the Covid downturn,” he said.

The trust is not bulletproof, however. “A really big fall in US equities could still hurt us and there are no guarantees we won’t lose money,” Spiller acknowledged. “But our long-term record of safely growing our investors’ savings speaks for itself.”

Ruffer Investment Company also focuses on capital preservation and has performed well in turbulent markets, said manager Jasmine Yeo. “The strategy retains a defensive bias with powerful protections but we’ve also got high conviction growth ideas and lots of liquidity to take advantage of the opportunities which volatility bring. We’re trying not just to preserve and grow capital in real market stress, but to use profits from our protections and other liquidity to buy assets to drive the next cycle of returns,“ she explained.

“Our approach has been successful in helping us to protect our clients through the dotcom bust, the credit crisis and Covid-19. The portfolio was defensively positioned going into ‘Liberation Day’ holding potent derivative protections that contributed meaningfully to performance as volatility spiked, offsetting the falls in the portfolio’s equities, while our yen and precious metals exposure allowed us to make positive headway.”

Personal Assets Trust takes a different approach, according to its manager, Sebastian Lyon – focusing on high-quality equities but avoiding the derivatives used by Ruffer. “All the wealth preservation trusts do things in different ways, so I see us as complementary rather than in competition,” he said.

“We dismiss a huge pool of equities because they are too cyclical, too high risk. If you look back through history and see the companies that tend to fall a lot in a recession, there is a theme: time and again it tends to be highly geared companies like retail banks, whether during the Asian currency crisis in 1997 or after ‘Liberation Day’; HSBC, Standard Chartered, Barclays – all went down by around 10% in April.

“That’s why we don’t own these stocks. Nor do we own companies reliant on receiving new capital such as housebuilders or airlines because when things go wrong, profits can collapse really sharply, like they did during Covid, and they are forced to ask for more money at the bottom of the market,” he explained.

“What do we own? Consumer staples. Unilever is our largest holding. It’s boring and predictable and we have held it for 20 years. We like to stick to the middle ground where companies have a tailwind. We have owned Microsoft for many years and we like Visa and Amex because there is a clear tailwind in the trend away from cash.”

Personal Assets also has 11% in gold and gold-related investments. “We love gold because it has risen during every crisis, providing a fantastic safe haven as we’ve seen recently as it has hit successive record highs,” Lyon said.

So take your pick. As you can see from the graphics, all of these trusts have done remarkably well over the long term, smoothing out returns at times of extraordinary volatility, and giving investors a more profitable, arguably less stressful alternative to cash. So for those who want to sleep at night whilst preserving the value of their nest egg, these trusts are most certainly worth considering.

Annabel Brodie-Smith is communications director at the Association of Investment Companies. The views expressed above should not be taken as investment advice.

The current blended minimum yield for the snowball is 7%.

If you wanted to buy a higher yielding Trust, you can remove some of the risk by Pair Trading with a less risky Trust.

Or, if you wanted to buy a less risky Trust, you could Pair Trade it with a higher yielding Trust.

Most popular SIPP investments

Evidence suggests DIY pension investors are looking to strike a balance between stability and a few select growth opportunities. We look at the most popular SIPP investments right now.

    Woman looks at SIPP investments on laptop screen as she sits at kitchen table.

    (Image credit: Luke Chan via Getty Images)

    By Laura Miller

    Cash. Cash. Cash. The funds that made up the top three among Fidelity SIPP investors in April were all cash funds. The kind of funds investors pile into when they are worried about which way the wind is blowing.

    And with April seeing sky high tariffs and trade wars emanating from the United States rocking stock markets around the world, the fear of a hurricane brewing has been intense.

    Ed Monk, associate director at Fidelity International, says: “SIPP investors continue to prioritise stability with funds like the Royal London Short Term Money Market Fund and Legal & General Cash Trust holding prominent positions.

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    “These cash and money market funds are sought after in times of uncertainty due to their ability to preserve capital and offer liquidity.”

    This aligns with recent research from Fidelity which shows a marked shift towards caution, with 41% of investors now describing their outlook on the market as ‘pessimistic’, up from 24% in February.

    At the same time, heading up the investment trust chart during the period was GCP Infrastructure Investments and International Public Partnerships, taking first and second place respectively – both infrastructure investments, as even SIPP investors not choosing cash funds retreated to cash-like safety.

    “The popularity of cash funds and infrastructure trusts shows a clear preference for defensive strategies in uncertain markets,” says Monk.

    Likewise that old favourite in troubled times, gold. Gold’s performance in 2025 underscores its value as a safe haven, with the Ninety-One Global Gold Fund climbing into the top holdings among SIPP investors in April.

    Fidelity’s research also supports this, revealing 28% of investors now see gold as a key opportunity. “The growing interest in gold reflects the broader trend of investors looking for assets that can provide both safety and long-term value,” Monk says.

    Yet SIPP investors are striking a balance between stability and selective growth opportunities. While not as popular as cash and infrastructure, global equity and index funds held their own in the top 10, showing investors’ ongoing appetite for diversification.

    “We’re seeing selective interest in growth sectors, with funds like the Fidelity Index World Fund and Allianz Technology Trust attracting attention, showing that there’s still room for optimism in certain areas of the market,” says Monk.

    Finally, the return of Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust to the top ranks suggests that some investors are cautiously dipping back into the growth space.

    But, says Monk, that is occurring with a keen eye on balancing these exposures with more defensive holdings elsewhere.

    FundSharesInvestment trusts
    Royal London Short Term Money Market FundBPGCP INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS LTD
    Legal & General Cash TrustHSBC HOLDINGS PLCINTERNATIONAL PUBLIC PARTNERSHIP
    Fidelity Cash FundLEGAL & GENERAL GPALLIANZ TECHNOLOGY TRUST PLC
    Fidelity Multi Asset Alloc Growth W-AccGLENCORE PLCJPMORGAN GLOBAL GROWTH & INCOME PLC
    Fidelity Index World FundDIAGEO PLCSDCL ENERGY EFFICIENCY INC TST PLC
    BNY Mellon Multi-Asset Balanced FundM&G PLCF&C INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
    Fid FIF Global Dividend FundASHMORE GROUPCQS NEW CITY HIGH YIELD FUND LTD
    Legal & General Global Equity Index FundABERDEEN GROUP PLCSCOTTISH MORTGAGE INV TRUST
    Ninety One Global Gold FundGREATLAND GOLDPOLAR CAPITAL TECHNOLOGY TRUST PLC
    Fidelity Global Aggregate Bond Feeder FundBURBERRY GROUPLAW DEBENTURE CORP

    Source: Fidelity International Personal Investing Platform Net SIPP sales 01.04.25-29.04.25

    Over the pond

    Inflation? Slowdown? This 10% Dividend Wins Either Way

    Brett Owens, Chief Investment Strategist
    Updated: May 13, 2025

    Are we careening towards a recession, or is a pickup in inflation the big threat to the stock market?

    The negative first quarter GDP print has recession fears in the financial headlines. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jay Powell remains fixated on inflation.

    Ironically, both may come to pass. Which means we must prepare our portfolios for a slowdown that is quickly followed by a pickup in prices.

    Let’s put one smart lender on our “Goldilocks” watch list. This ticker yields 10% today (with some nice “dividend insurance” we’ll talk about in a moment). But the key point is that it profits as inflation—and interest rates—tick higher.

    Let’s talk about the “slowdown-inflation two-step” I see coming—and how it’s set to open the door on this 10% dividend opportunity.

    Slowdown Now …

    Let’s start with the slowdown, which, as we discussed last week, is already upon us. The evidence: A 0.3% decline in first-quarter GDP:


    Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

    But the underlying numbers were actually more bullish than the headlines suggested.

    That’s because the pullback was in large part due to a spike in imports as retailers stocked up ahead of Trump’s tariffs—and imports are calculated as a drag on GDP. That trend is likely to fade. Government spending also fell in light of DOGE cuts (though as we’ll discuss next, this will likely be fleeting), while consumer spending largely held up.

    We’ll happily take a GDP dip caused by temporary factors! But a slowdown is still likely. There were hints of this in the April employment report, which, while better than expected, still showed a slight slowdown from March.

    … Inflation Next

    Meantime, despite DOGE’s efforts, government spending rose 7.4% year-over-year for the first six months of this fiscal year (which began October 1, 2024).

    Tax receipts, by the way, are not up 7.4%. And remember that most of federal spending is untouchable: Messing with Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid is political suicide. Defense spending seems “secure” given the current state of the world.

    That makes it far more likely that a future Fed Chair (remember that Jay Powell’s term is up in a year) will resort to money printing quantitative easing (and with it, sustained, or rising, inflation and rates in the longer term).

    Enter Our 10%-Paying “Floating-Rate” Lender

    Enter commercial mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs), which stand to see higher income from their floating-rate loans as inflation—and interest rates—hold at current levels or tick up.

    When most people think of REITs, they think of those that own physical properties, like shopping malls, hotels and apartments. Instead, mREITs buy and originate mortgages on these properties. (But like their property-owning cousins, they get a hall pass on their corporate taxes so long as they pay out 90% of their income as dividends.)

    mREITs’ lending operations make money by borrowing at low short-term rates, then lending that cash out in the form of mortgages based on long-term rates. They then pocket the difference.

    This business model prints money when long rates (i.e., those on the 10-year Treasury) are steady or, better yet, declining, as we’ll likely see in the coming slowdown. That’s because, when long-term rates drop, mREITs’ existing loans become more valuable because new loans pay less. That’s the setup we’re likely to see in the coming months.

    But what about when rates rise? That can hurt mREITs because their existing mortgage portfolios fall in value. But remember that they do see rising income from those floating-rate loans.

    Moreover, the best mREITs are run by experienced managers and have their hands in businesses beyond commercial lending, helping them navigate any rate environment.

    Starwood: Much More Than a Mortgage Lender

    Which sets up the 10%-yielding stock we’re going to talk about today: Starwood Property Trust (STWD). It really is the poster child for mREITs. For starters, its loan book is 98% floating-rate. And as we’ll see below, it’s diversified into other businesses that help hedge it against inflation.

    Starwood is managed by Barry Sternlicht’s Starwood Capital, which he founded with $20 million in 1991. Today, Starwood Capital manages over $120 billion in assets.

    These folks know the credit and real estate markets, and they’ve built STWD to thrive in all rate setups: Beyond commercial lending, which is about 55% of assets, STWD holds residential loans (11%) and devotes about 13% of its assets to owned properties.

    It also makes loans in the growing infrastructure space (a keen focus of the company) and originates, acquires and manages mortgage-backed securities. In addition, it runs LNR Partners LLC, which focuses on resolving distressed mortgages. Since its launch in 1993, LNR has resolved some $94.5 billion worth of such loans.

    On the commercial loan side, the company’s loan book is as diverse as they come, with mortgages spread across office, housing, hotel, industrial, infrastructure, mixed-use properties, international properties and more.


    Source: Starwood Property Trust Q1 investor presentation

    All of this has helped this “ironclad” mREIT blow past competitors Blackstone Realty Trust (BXMT) and Granite Point Mortgage Trust (GPMT) in the past five years—through COVID, plunging rates, rising rates and the trade war—and with far less drama, too:

    Starwood Soldiers Through the Wild 2020s 

    That share-price gain is deserved. Just look at how STWD’s book value grew from the start of the rising-rate period, in January 2022, to the end of 2024—when 10-year Treasury rates shot up from 1.5% to 4.6%. At the same time, the book values of BXMT and GPMT plummeted:

    Starwood Shakes Off Rising Rates, Grows Its Assets

    And this year? Despite concerns about inflation/recession, Starwood has posted a total return of roughly 3% and has only barely slipped into the red this year, while the S&P 500’s total return remains underwater, with volatility that’s gone through the roof:

     “Tariff Tantrum” Fails to Dent Starwood

    On the dividend front, Starwood raised the payout after its 2009 IPO and has held it steady, at $0.48 quarterly, for the past decade. And that payout looks safe: Management says it has $1.5 billion (or $4.53 a share) in unrealized distributable earnings from property gains to put toward the payout.

    That’s nearly 2.5 years of payouts, based on the current annualized rate.

    Slowdown Could Give Us a Better Deal on Starwood

    So why are we putting Starwood on our watch list and not our buy list, now? It goes back to book value: Right now, Starwood trades “at book,” which isn’t bad—but I expect a slowdown to pull the stock below book by a bit. That’s what happened in March 2023, when the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and friends sent recession fears soaring.

    Back then, STWD traded at 82% of book. And with another slowdown likely, I expect another chance to buy for less than book value in the coming months (though likely not quite at that 18%-off deal we saw in 2023!).

    Broker Targets

     BARCLAYS

    CUTS BLUEFIELD SOLAR INCOME FUND TO ‘EQUAL WEIGHT’ – PRICE TARGET 106 PENCE

    CUTS NEXTENERGY SOLAR FUND TARGET TO 82 (87) PENCE – ‘EQUAL WEIGHT’

    Case Study: Doric Nimrod Air Three

    Doric Nimrod buy aircrafts and lease them out. During the covid crash people stopped flying and the share price fell out of bed.

    At the covid low of 32p the yield was 25%.

    You would have achieved the Holy Grail of investing in having a share that has returned all your capital and still produces an income.

    There was also a capital gain of 100%.

    ORIT Navel Gazing

    Not Naval Gazing, that’s a completely different subject.

    Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust PLC (LSE:ORIT) Full Year 2024 Earnings Call Highlights:

    GuruFocus News

    31 March 2025 

    In this article:

    Positive Points

    • Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust PLC (LSE:ORIT) delivered a positive NAV total return of around 2.5% for the calendar year 2024.
    • The company paid an on-target fully covered dividend of 6.02p per share, marking the third consecutive year of dividend increase in line with inflation.
    • A successful share buyback program was implemented, initially set at 10 million pounds and later increased to 30 million pounds, contributing to NAV per share accretion.
    • The acquisition of the Ballymacarni solar complex and the Harliton project expanded their portfolio, adding significant megawatt capacity.
    • The company achieved a 7% increase in generation from its portfolio, with new projects receiving higher electricity prices and reduced operating costs, leading to increased EBITDA margins.

    Negative Points

    • Despite a positive NAV return, the net asset value declined due to capital returned to shareholders and running costs.
    • The company faces challenges in reducing leverage, with a goal to bring it below 40% of gross asset value.
    • There is uncertainty in the market due to policy and government rhetoric that sometimes suggests a move away from renewables.
    • The company is reliant on capital recycling, with significant asset sales required to maintain financial health.
    • The UK market is undergoing changes in grid access reform, which could impact project timelines and costs. Warning ! GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Sign with LSE:ORIT.

    Q & A Highlights

    Q: Can you provide an overview of Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust’s performance in 2024? 

    A: During 2024, we delivered a positive NAV total return of around 2.5%, primarily driven by dividends in line with our target. Despite a decline in net asset value due to capital returns to shareholders and running costs, we paid a fully covered dividend of 6.02p per share, marking a 4% increase from the previous year. We also announced a further inflation-linked increase in the dividend target for 2025. (Unidentified_2)

    Q: What strategic acquisitions and sales did the company complete in 2024? 

    A: We completed the purchase of the Ballymacarni solar complex and the Harliton project, totaling 241 megawatts. Additionally, we sold the Lung Bon wind farm for EUR 70.4 million, achieving an 11.3% return. Our asset sales have realized GBP 161 million, a 12% uplift to holding value, surpassing our listed peers in the renewable space.

    Q: How has the company’s generation capacity and revenue evolved over the past year? 

    A: Our generation capacity increased by 7% year-on-year due to new projects and acquisitions, despite some asset sales. Revenue and EBITDA grew even more, thanks to higher electricity prices from new projects and reduced operating costs, leading to an increased EBITDA margin.

    Q: What are the company’s goals for 2025? 

    A: We have set three clear goals for 2025: extending our share buyback program by an additional GBP 20 million, reducing leverage to below 40% of gross asset value, and selling up to GBP 80 million of assets.

    Q: What is the company’s approach to recent acquisitions and developer partnerships? 

    A: Our recent acquisitions focus on the developer side, aiming for higher returns with limited capital deployment. We are supporting Nordic Renewables in Finland and BLC in the UK, providing additional capital to advance their projects, particularly in solar and battery storage.

    Timing then Time In.

    Warren Buffett mini me

    ‘The next Warren Buffett doesn’t exist’

    Finally, the markets are far more researched than they ever were in the past. Buffett is famous for voraciously reading reports and accounts to find the next business to back. From the start of his career, he scoured financial statements to unearth assets that had yet to be exploited. That is possible if you are very good at scanning balance sheets and if no one else is taking the trouble. But there is far more information around now than there was when Buffett was starting his career. The hedge funds and private-equity houses are all looking at the same information and trying to spot the same opportunities. Artificial intelligence will streamline that process even more.

    It is hard to imagine that a couple of guys in Omaha, no matter how smart they were, could spot something that the rest of the world had somehow missed. Buffett’s reputation is completely deserved. But it seems unlikely there will ever be another investor who does quite as well as he did. The investment world has changed too much for anyone to turn themselves into one of the five richest men in the world simply by investing well. The next Buffett doesn’t exist – and there is no point in looking for him.


    This article was first published in MoneyWeek’s magazine. Enjoy exclusive early access to news, opinion and analysis from our team of financial experts with a MoneyWeek subscription.

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