A reminder of the rules for the Snowball, there are only 3.
Buy Investment Trusts that pay a dividend and use those dividends to buy more Investment Trusts that pay a dividend.
Any Trust that drastically alters their dividend payments must be sold, even at a loss.
Remember the rules.
Investment Trusts are the favoured investment as most have reserves to pay the dividend in times of panic as during the Covid market melt down.
Snowball Effect Investing | Compound Your Wealth Like Warren Buffett
August 29th, 2024 by Bob Ciura
The snowball effect shows the power of compounding.
When you push a small snowball down a hill, it continuously picks up snow. When it reaches the bottom of the hill it is a giant snow boulder.
The snowball compounds during its travel down the hill. The bigger it gets, the more snow it packs on with each revolution. The snowball effect explains how small actions carried out over time can lead to big results.
In the same way, investing in high-quality dividend growth stocks can generate large amounts of dividend income over long periods of time. That’s because dividend growth stocks tend to pay rising dividends every year. And then you can reinvest those rising dividends to purchase more shares each year. This results in an increase in the total number of shares you own, as well as an increase in the dividend per share, for a powerful wealth compounding effect.
When the Nobel Prize-winning scientist Albert Einstein was asked to identify the most powerful force in the universe, he is said to have replied: “compound interest”. It’s no joke to say that the mathematical phenomenon of compounding – or the ability for gains to grow on gains and income to arise from income – provides a powerful tool for anyone seeking to accumulate wealth. However, you will need time to make it work.
Goldman Sachs analysts, for example, project the S&P 500 may only generate an average annual return of 3% over the next 10 years due to high valuations and the resulting concentration of value in the index’s biggest holdings.
JPMorgan analysts believe the index will deliver an annual return of just 6% over the next decade.
U have 100k to invest for your retirement in ten years time.
If u buy a S&P tracker and let’s be optimistic and use the 6% growth figure, your 100k could be worth £179k, could be more could be less.
If u use the 4% rule that would give u income of £7,160 pa, u would need a cash buffer but at the present time u could earn 4% on that cash buffer.
If u buy an annuity, lets be generous again and use a 6% figure, income of £10,174 pa
Canada Life figures show the 65-year-old with a £100,000 pension pot could buy an annuity linked to the retail price index (RPI) that would generate a starting annual income of £3,896. That’s up from £2,195 in the New Year following a 77% spike in rates this year. Oct 22
It could be less and u have to surrender all your capital but it’s only your retirement u are gambling with.
If u invest in a portfolio of income producing Trusts u could earn 8% and if u compound the dividends at 7% u would have income of 16k pa. If u leave the funds uncrystallized 25% of that would be tax free and all future dividends would also be 25% tax free. U could pass on your fund to your nearest and dearest but remember those wee cats and dogs.
It’s only your retirement u are gambling with so it depends if u are a gambler or an investor. GL
The Power of Dividends in Bear Markets Investing in dividend stocks is a favourite strategy of mine and it might be even more important if we see a Bear Market.
A lot of famous people are telling us a major correction is coming soon. Are they right?
Not necessarily. They’ve been predicting a huge crash for two years now.
But if we do see a crash, wouldn’t it be great if we didn’t care?
How do we do that?
Dividends.
Here’s why dividends are great during Bear Markets.
1. Consistent Income in Uncertain Times
When stock prices decline, dividend-paying companies still give us regular cash payouts. This income stream can help us deal with the blow of falling portfolio values, offering a tangible return even in a declining market.
For long-term investors, dividends provide a source of steady income that can be reinvested to buy more shares at lower prices. This compounding effect enhances returns over time, helping to offset the losses incurred during a bear market.
2. Lower Volatility
Historically, dividend-paying stocks have less volatility than non-dividend-paying stocks or the market. During bear markets, this reduced volatility translates to smaller declines, helping us preserve more of capital.
For example, during the financial crisis of 2008, high-quality dividend-paying stocks declined far less than the broader market. This stability, relatively speaking, makes them a valuable addition to our portfolios during periods of high market uncertainty.
3. Outperformance in Historical Bear Markets
Looking back at past bear markets, dividend-paying stocks have consistently outperformed market indexes. For example:
During the 2000–2002 dot-com bust, high-dividend-paying stocks declined far less than the tech-heavy NASDAQ index.
In the 2008 financial crisis, dividend-paying stocks provided more stability and a quicker recovery compared to non-dividend payers.
These patterns show us the resilience of dividend stocks during market downturns.
4. Psychological Benefits of Dividends
In a bear market, fear and panic often drive investors to sell, locking in losses. Dividend stocks provide a psychological advantage by giving out consistent income, which can help us stay calm and maintain a long-term perspective.
Knowing that we’re earning a return, even as prices fall, makes it easier to avoid emotional decisions and stick to your investment strategy.
Final Thoughts
Bear markets are challenging, but dividend stocks offer a way to weather the storm. Their consistent income, defensive nature, and lower volatility make them a great choice for preserving wealth and generating returns in down times.
As noted in the Company’s half-yearly results announcement, the Company has now completed the process of removing its currency hedges. Net cash released as a result which was being held against the potential for margin calls on the hedges will be applied to reduce the Company’s gearing.
In the September quarterly report the Company noted work being undertaken in regard to the Razor Group following their business combination with Perch. More details on this will be included in the December quarterly report, but business performance over the last quarter has been poorer than anticipated and it is currently expected that the year-end valuation of Razor will be materially lower than at the last valuation point
Fancy a 13.9% dividend yield? Consider these dirt-cheap investment trusts!
These investment trusts are trading at whopping discounts to their net asset values (NAVs). Here’s why they could prove to be brilliant buys.
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Royston Wild
Image source: Getty Images
When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.
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Investment trusts can deliver large returns while allowing investors to effectively diversify. But times have been tough for these companies more recently.
Victoria Hasler, head of fund research at Hargreaves Lansdown, notes that
She also notes that “over the last couple of years we have seen some good quality investment trusts trading on hefty discounts“. This remains the case as we head into the New Year.
So I’m searching for the best value trusts to consider today. Here are two of my favourites.
Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust
Donald Trump’s return to the presidency has sent a shockwave across renewable energy stocks. Even companies with little-to-no exposure to the US have slumped following November’s election.
This provides a terrific dip buying opportunity in my opinion. One such business that’s caught my attention is Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust (LSE:ORIT).
At 63.5p per share, it trades at a huge 38.7% discount to its estimated net asset value (NAV) per share of 103.6p.
Recent share price weakness has also turbocharged Octopus’ dividend yield to 9.5%. To put this in context, the average for FTSE 100 shares is way back at 3.6%.
I like this trust because of the excellent diversification it offers. It generates power from offshore and onshore wind turbines as well as from solar farms. This allows consistent power generation across all seasons, and boosts efficiency by using technologies that are tailored to different environments.
With assets across the British Isles, Finland, Germany, and France, it can also remain profitable despite poor weather or regulatory issues in one or two regions.
Importantly, it also has no exposure to the US, removing uncertainty over the future of green policies under President-elect Trump.
Such fears — however impractical — may continue to weigh on Octopus’ share price. But over the long term I think it could prove a robust investment.
Gore Street Energy Storage Fund
The Gore Street Energy Storage Fund (LSE:GSF) shares several characteristics with the Octopus trust.
Its share price has declined due to falling confidence in renewable energy. This is because demand for its technologies are tied to growth in the renewables sector, where they provide a stable flow of energy even during unfavourable weather.
Gore Street is also vulnerable to higher interest rates that dampen asset values and increase borrowing costs.
But like Octopus, it also offers excellent value I find hard to ignore. At 50.6p per share, the trust trades at an 49.7% discount to its NAV per share of 100.7p.
Meanwhile, its forward dividend yield is a staggering 13.9%.
This is another share with considerable long-term potential as the world switches away from fossil fuels. Bloomberg estimates the global energy storage market will experience an annual growth rate of 21% between now and 2030.
And Gore Street is rapidly expanding to supercharge long-term revenues. Operational capacity leapt 45% in the 12 months to September, to 421.4 MW.
Five key lessons to take from financial markets in 2024
Tuesday, December 17, 2024 – 10:20
In some ways 2024 was unusual, because the consensus macroeconomic view played out exactly as expected – inflation cooled, there was no deep economic downturn (or even a downturn of any real kind) and interest rates started to fall, says AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.
As a result, investors did not have to change much if they were to benefit: equities did well (again), led by technology and AI-related names (again), with the result that the US stock market outperformed, spearheaded by the NASDAQ (again), while Japan’s benchmark indices did better than those of Europe, which in turn generally did better than those of the UK, while emerging markets lagged, even as China put on a bit of a wiggle towards the end of the year.
Capital return in 2024 (%)
Asset classes
Major stock indices
Bitcoin
129.6%
NASDAQ
33.3%
Gold
30.2%
S&P 500
27.2%
Natural GAS
26.8%
TSX 60
21.4%
Global equities
18.8%
DAX
21.3%
Commodities
15.6%
Hang Seng
20.1%
Emerging equities
9.2%
Nikkei 225
17.6%
Global high-yield bonds
2.4%
S&P BSE 100
17.1%
Global corporate bonds
(0.4%)
Shanghai Comp.
15.5%
Global sovereign bonds
(3.6%)
FTSE 100
7.4%
Oil
(6.6%)
SSMI
4.8%
CAC 40
(1.6%)
Bovespa
(3.4%)
Source: LSEG Refinitiv. Local currency. Data as of 10 December
Meanwhile, holders of benchmark, ten-year government bonds lost money for the third year in four on both sides of the Atlantic, while commodity prices rose, on average, for the fourth time in five. Oil did poorly, gold did well, and Bitcoin went wild (again).
These trends leave 2021/22 looking like a post-COVID-19 aberration and suggest the long-term trend of cheap energy, food, goods, labour and (above all) money that began in the early 1980s is reasserting itself.
It is therefore worth thinking about what happened in 2024 and why, and whether five trends in particular can continue in 2025 and beyond.
1. Cooling inflation
The rate of increase in the cost of living slowed right on cue, to give central banks the chance to cut interest rates. That said, much of the improvement in inflation came from oil and energy, as well as goods, where unblocked supply chains helped supply and the lagged effect of higher interest rates took some of the edge off demand. Services inflation remained sticky and that could yet prompt workers to demand more by way of pay increases, so perhaps central banks cannot be too gung-ho with further interest rate cuts just yet.
Source: Office for National Statistics, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, European Central Bank. US and UK based on consumer price index, EU on Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices
2. Steady global growth
A global slowdown did not materialise in 2024, despite disappointing growth from China, Japan, Germany and France (four of the globe’s seven largest economies). India took up some of the slack, the UK emerged from 2023’s shallow downturn and the US once more led the charge.
The Biden administration’s CHIPS and Inflation Reduction Acts buoyed output and American consumers kept spending, helped by rising house and stock prices. America’s latest debt ceiling breach gave no-one pause for any particular thought, even as the deficit soared, and President-elect Trump’s plan to raise revenues through tariffs has provoked as much concern as it has positive comment. If Elon Musk succeeds in cutting US government spending, and Trump rolls back the Inflation Reduction Act, there could yet be some (unpleasant) unintended consequences.
Source: FRED – St. Louis Federal Reserve database
3. Lower interest rates
A tally of 175 interest rate cuts worldwide in 2024, compared to just 28 rate hikes, tells a clear story. The UK, Japan and China all added fiscal stimulus to fresh monetary impetus, and you could argue the USA did as well, given how the Federal deficit grew by another $1.8 trillion to an all-time high of $36 trillion. The question for 2025 is whether a combination of sticky inflation, steady growth and ballooning government debts (and rising sovereign bond yields) crimp central banks’ room for manoeuvre and force the pace of rate cuts to slow or, in a worst case, come to a halt.
Source: CentralBankRates
4. The surge in gold and Bitcoin
Given how bullish and confident equity markets feel, this is a bit of an outlier.
Silver hit a twelve-year high and gold and (most spectacularly) bitcoin set new all-time highs. Such demand for havens does not sit comfortably besides equities’ core scenario of cooling inflation, steady growth and lower interest rates.
It may be the result of fears that central banks are playing fast and loose with inflation, or that ever-growing sovereign debts are persuading them to cut rates (and ease governments’ interest bills) whether they feel it is appropriate or not. President-elect Trump’s enthusiasm for all things crypto, his planned deregulation drive and the departure of Gary Gensler from the Securities and Exchange Commission mean bitcoin is up 40% in barely two months, helped by what can be seen as increasingly reflexive ETF flows (the higher bitcoin goes, the more buyers appear), in a clear win for momentum over value investors.
Source: LSEG Refinitiv data
5. Government bonds continue to struggle
The fifth and final trend is another slightly discordant note, as sovereign bond yields tick higher and prices go lower.
This matters because the ten-year bond represents the local risk-free rate and thus the benchmark minimum return from any investment that is acceptable. Yields on ten-year paper rose (and prices fell) despite interest rate cuts, to suggest that bond vigilantes are becoming nervous about governments’ debt piles in the US, UK and EU and whether there is political or public appetite for the tax increases and spending cuts needed to fix them, in the absence of growth or inflation reducing those growing debt-to-GDP and interest bill-to-total spending ratios.
Anyone who bought ten-year bonds in 2020, when central banks were indiscriminate buyers thanks to COVID-fighting QE schemes, has suffered, to perhaps offer a reminder that valuation always matters – in the end.
Is Investing $50,000 Into the S&P 500 Today a Surefire Way to Get to $1 Million by Retirement?
By David Jagielski
Key Points
The S&P 500’s 10-year return has far outpaced its historical average.
Investors may want to brace for the potential of lower returns for the S&P 500 in the future.
The broad index is still a great way to invest in the market without excess risk.
Investing in the S&P 500 GSPC has historically been a great way for someone to grow their wealth. As a benchmark for the broad market, the index tracks 500 of the largest and most successful U.S. companies.
While you cannot invest directly in the S&P 500, a number of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) track the index at a low cost. And since these ETFs distribute your money across hundreds of stocks, a bet on the S&P 500 can be a lower-risk way to invest in the stock market than picking and choosing individual stocks.
It may not always be possible to put a big lump sum into the stock market. However, if you come into an inheritance or profit from the sale of a home, you may be able to make a sizable investment, even if you haven’t accumulated a significant amount of savings.
Below, I’ll look at whether investing $50,000 into an S&P 500 index fund can set you up on a path to have $1 million by retirement, a goal many people have in order to live comfortably in their golden years.
The S&P 500 has produced incredible returns over the past decade
Going back nearly a century, the compounded annual return for the S&P 500, including dividends, is 10.1%. in the past 10 years, the index’s return has been an even more impressive 13.7%. While that’s great news for investors who have been invested during that time, the outlook for the next decade may not be so rosy.
Goldman Sachsanalysts, for example, project the S&P 500 may only generate an average annual return of 3% over the next 10 years due to high valuations and the resulting concentration of value in the index’s biggest holdings. JPMorgan analysts believe the index will deliver an annual return of just 6% over the next decade.
Put simply, investing in the index today could mean significantly lower returns than what investors have grown used to in recent history.
Data by YCharts.
But for someone starting their career or in the middle of it, investing their retirement savings means thinking beyond the next decade. So, even if the next five or 10 years of returns for the index are relatively weak, the S&P 500 could still make up for those slow years with better returns down the road. There are just too many factors that could weigh on the markets, making it next to impossible to predict exactly what the market will do that many years in the future.
Here’s how much a $50,000 investment could become
Instead of trying to guess exactly what the annual returns for the S&P 500 will be over the next decade and beyond, the table below illustrates what a $50,000 investment could be worth under different scenarios.
Projected Value of a $50,000 Investment Today
Annualized Rate of Return for the S&P 500
Year
3%
6%
8%
10%
10
$67,200
$89,500
$107,900
$129,700
20
$90,300
$160,400
$233,000
$336,400
25
$104,700
$214,600
$342,400
$541,700
30
$121,400
$287,200
$503,100
$872,500
35
$140,700
$384,300
$739,300
$1,405,100
40
$163,100
$514,300
$1,086,200
$2,263,000
Table and calculations by author. Amounts rounded to the nearest hundred.
The reality is that while a $50,000 lump investment may be a significant amount of money, it will still take many years and a solid rate of return to grow to $1 million.
One way to help boost these numbers is by contributing to your holdings over time. Even if you’re able to put a large lump sum into the stock market today, periodically adding to your portfolio can be an effective way to help accelerate your gains.
Slow and steady wins the race
You may look at the table above and think it’s not worth investing in the S&P 500 if its returns may diminish in the years ahead. Or you may believe you’re better off prioritizing other investments like growth stocks. Just remember that the potential for higher returns also means taking on more risk, and not everyone is comfortable with the extra volatility that comes with such an approach.
Meanwhile, a bet on the S&P 500 offers immediate diversification, and its focus on large, high-quality businesses still makes it one of the most reliable ways to invest in the stock market. But even if you have $50,000 to begin your journey, patience is necessary to give your investment the time it needs to grow into a proper nest egg.
